New Bowl rankings snub overachievers
By Carl Bialik
The Tulane Green Wave football team is 8-0 and in the midst of a dream season. But the new Bowl Championship Series (BCS)
rankings could end it all in horrible injustice.
The BCS, instituted this year, has been touted as the best yet in a series of imperfect solutions to Division I-A college football's biggest problem: the
lack of a championship game. The BCS ranks teams by a complex formula combining
the traditional writers' and coaches' polls, three computer rankings, strength
of schedule, and win-loss record. The two teams that sit atop the BCS rankings
at the end of the season will play each other at one of the major bowl games
(this year, the Fiesta Bowl), supposedly for the title of national champion.
According to the BCS website, this format "will guarantee a match-up between
college football's top two teams in a true national championship game."
By combining disparate ranking methods, the BCS resembles a grab bag that
offers something for everyone--except teams like Tulane. The Green Wave plays
in the relatively weak Conference USA, and its strength-of-schedule ranking is
99th of 112 Division I-A teams. This ranking is not likely to improve, as
Tulane's three remaining opponents aren't exactly Florida State, UCLA, and
Tennessee. The great weight BCS places on strength-of-schedule rankings--both
directly and in the polls--ensures that Tulane will have no chance to play for
the national championship. So much for a "true national championship game."
This phenomenon is not a necessary evil of college football. The wide range of
conference strength is a fundamental problem that should be solved. Division I
college basketball conferences have as wide a range of talent but also have
fair and exciting playoffs.
The allure of the basketball tournaments is that every team, no matter how
weak its opponents from the regular season, knows its fate is in its own hands.
It's trite but true: win your conference and you're in the playoffs. Win six
more games and you're national champs. Princeton sent a team into the 1998
men's tournament that believed it could go all the way against teams like Duke
and Kentucky. Harvard's women's team went into the 1998 tournament as the
lowest seed in its region, and upset top-seeded Stanford.
Princeton, Harvard, and the rest of the Division I-AA Ivy League football
teams are unaffected by BCS, but there are teams other than Tulane that stand
to be wronged. Wisconsin, Kansas State, and Arkansas are also currently
undefeated, but, according to the current BCS ranking, none will play for the
national title.
College football must institute a playoff system to solve this problem. Every
undefeated team should automatically qualify for the postseason. This does not
mean getting rid of the BCS entirely--an 8-team playoff, rounded out by the
top-ranked teams which do not qualify under the first two criteria, would
strike a good balance between fairness and convenience.
The conferences and bowls have stubbornly resisted the lures of a playoff
system for years, citing the difficulty of reconciling the current bowl system
with playoffs. Yet in reality, the current system--with its month-long delay
between the end of the season and the major bowls and its many
corporate-sponsored, irrelevant bowls--is practically screaming for a change.
Should Tennessee, which is currently ranked No. 1 in BCS, clinch a position in
the Fiesta Bowl, it will sit idle for more than a month between the
Southeastern Conference championship game and the Fiesta Bowl. Instead, in the
ensuing weeks, it should be earning its ticket to the championship game by
winning playoff games.
These contests could be played at the sites of lesser bowl games like the
Insight.com Bowl. I'm sure Tucson fans will be disappointed to miss the
exciting matchup between "Big East No. 2 or 3 or Notre Dame vs. Big 12 No. 5."
Somehow, though, I think they'll get over it and go watch undefeated Tulane
take on undefeated Tennessee. And I'm sure some Tennessee players would rather
be indoors relaxing in front of a fireplace than facing the scorching arm of
Tulane quarterback Shaun King '99. But the point of the playoff system is to
make teams like Tennessee sweat--and to give teams like Tulane a chance at
immortality.
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